AUTHOR'S NOTE - All of the premises presented in this series of posts are solely based on personal experience as a livestock producer and strictly as a cattleman (I have a basic understanding of farm commodities markets, but no real experience with such, and cannot speak with much authority from the farm side of things; Though I would think there are going to be some similarities). The information represents my opinion and is based on personal experiences. Any factual information may or may not be referenced, but be aware, the majority of the content is personal conjecture. Dialogue and comment are welcome.
Beef is the No.1 selling protein in the United States. Last year, consumer spending on beef totaled $74.3 billion. Per capita consumption of beef in 2010 was 59.6 pounds while per capita spending for beef was $240, according to industry research firm CattleFax.

In the state that gave birth to the cowboy and spawned the culture of cattle drives, modern-day ranchers are fighting for survival. Severe drought (the worst in 44 years) and several million charred acres from wildfires have delivered a devastating "gut" punch, forcing ranchers to take drastic measures to save ranches across Texas. The state's livestock industry has lost $1.2 billion under withering conditions, according to the Texas Agrilife Extension Service, a service branch of Texas A&M University.
In Texas and other states with large cattle herds, the beef supply chain starts at the ranch. Ranchers own a herd of beef cows, each of which gives birth to a calf once a year. The mother nurses the calf and the pair graze on grass through the summer and into the fall, whereupon the fattened calf is sent to market.
This year, ranchers should be reaping the benefits of high prices, low supplies and high demand for their beef. The demand for calves from feedlots, where cattle add hundreds of pounds before slaughter, seems insatiable. Without rangelands full of nutritional forage, cows will struggle for nutrients. The herd will lose interest in breeding and cows may not provide enough milk for their calves, bringing the critical first step of America's beef cycle to a halt.
Among all meat production, beef producers typically incur some of the highest production costs. For example, costs for raising cattle are much higher than for poultry farming. Cattle producers pay more for each animal, grazing lands, fertilizers, feed and processing systems versus poultry farmers. Also the time it takes to prepare cattle for sale is much longer compared to other meats. It takes just 46 days for chicken to be market ready, but can take up to two years for beef.
Exacerbating the situation further is the shrinking number of cattle available for consumption. As beef producers struggle with the escalating drought, rising business costs, and mounting debt, more of them are selling their heifers for meat production, instead of breeding them to expand the herd. In Texas, the largest producer of cattle in the U.S., the "state herd" is down nearly 18% since 2008. In fact, ranchers and farmers across the country are shrinking their herd sizes bringing the nation's cattle herd count to it's lowest since 1958.
ADDING SALT TO THE WOUND:
The outlook for more rain looks grim. The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center forecast below-normal rainfall for Texas over the next month at least.
As I have stated, my interests and passion lie in protecting and promoting the “small producers” in agriculture…if you browse my writings, you see that I have tried to communicate the major disadvantages “we little guys/gals” face in the current food production model(s). I advocate, vociferously for the family farm/ranch, eat local/buy local, farmers markets, etc, etc.
I have been engaged in healthy debate, in the comment sections, on a couple of websites, regarding my harsh remarks about the new book by Environmental Working Group (EWG) Meat Eaters Guide to Climate + Health.
The book is putting forth a “Theory” that the authors have surmised based on their interpretation of the data gathered.
To prove my point , I give you a “peer reviewed”, non biased study by the Animal Production & Health Section Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculture, Department of Nuclear Sciences and Applications International Atomic Energy Agency. (Boy, that's a mouthful!)
(article is based on the above referenced study)
…Until recently, some claimed the level of atmospheric methane was related to the number of ruminants in the world (mostly cows, sheep and goats). It seemed as though for each additional billion large ruminants (where 8 sheep = 1 large ruminant), atmospheric methane increased by 1 ppb (parts per billion). Between 1979 and 1999, methane concentrations increased by 10.8 ppb per year, and large ruminant numbers increased by about 8.7 billion per year….
…a recent report, by an organization that won the 2007 Nobel Peace prize, said “If methane emissions grow in direct proportion to increases in livestock numbers, then global livestock-related methane production is expected to increase by 60 percent up to 2030 (FAO 2003),” The slow increase in methane now raises questions about the accuracy of this prediction by Nobel laureates….